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Measuring expectations: forecast vs. ideal expectations. Does it really matter?

Higgs, Bronwyn, Polonsky, Michael Jay and Hollick, Mary (2005) Measuring expectations: forecast vs. ideal expectations. Does it really matter? Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 12 (1). pp. 49-64. ISSN 0969-6989

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Consumer's participation in service delivery is so central to cognition that it affects consumer's quality evaluations. The study presented in this paper investigates the ways that visitor expectations change as a result of first hand experience with a service in the context of a major art exhibition. The research design allowed for two operational definitions of expectations, namely forecast and ideal expectations, in order to investigate differences between respondents’ pre- and post-experiences with a service. A total of 550 respondent visitors were interviewed during a major art exhibition, using two questionnaires delivered to two sub samples of respondents. The primary questionnaire was designed to capture recalled expectations after visitation while the parallel questionnaire captured forecast expectations prior to visitation and perceptions in the post-experience phase. The findings suggest that forecast expectations were different to ideal expectations in both qualitative and quantitative ways and that these differences had important implications for perceptions of service quality. These differences can be explained, at least in part, by the way that expectations are formed and by the way that expectations are shaped by the actual visitation experience. For market researchers, the question of when and how to measure expectations has important implications for research design.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: ResPubID8700; expectations, forecast expectations, ideal expectations, service quality, recall, perceptions, satisfaction
Subjects: Historical > Faculty/School/Research Centre/Department > School of Hospitality Tourism and Marketing
Current > FOR Classification > 1503 Business and Management
Depositing User: VUIR
Date Deposited: 28 Mar 2012 04:57
Last Modified: 20 Oct 2020 02:55
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Citations in Scopus: 37 - View on Scopus

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