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The impact of the 2014 platinum mining strike in South Africa: An economy-wide analysis

(2015) The impact of the 2014 platinum mining strike in South Africa: An economy-wide analysis. Economic Modelling, 51. 403 - 411. ISSN 0264-9993

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© 2015 Elsevier B.V. In this paper we measure the economy-wide impact of the 2014 labour strike in South Africa's platinum industry. The strike lasted 5. months, ending in June 2014 when producers reached an agreement with the main labour unions. The immediate impacts on local mining towns were particularly severe, but our research shows that the strike could also have long lasting negative impacts on the South African economy as a whole. We find that it is not the higher nominal wages itself that caused the most damage, but the possible reaction by investors in the mining industry towards South Africa. Investor confidence is likely to be, at least, temporarily harmed, in which case it would take many years for the effects of the strike to disappear. We conduct our analysis using a dynamic CGE model of South Africa.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: FOR Classification > 1402 Applied Economics
Faculty/School/Research Centre/Department > Centre of Policy Studies (CoPS)
Depositing User: Symplectic Elements
Date Deposited: 11 Sep 2015 01:52
Last Modified: 10 Jan 2019 15:57
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Citations in Scopus: 8 - View on Scopus

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