Tourism recovering in Pacific Asia: a European perspective

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Turner, Lindsay W and Witt, Stephen F (2004) Tourism recovering in Pacific Asia: a European perspective. In: Proceedings of Tourism : State of the Art II Conference 2004. The University of Strathclyde, Scottish Hotel School, Glasgow, Scotland.


This presentation summarizes the forecasts of inbound travel to 40 Pacific Asia countries for the period 2004 to 2006. In addition, outbound forecasts are given for major travel generating countries in the Pacific Asia region. These forecasts are published by the Pacific Asia Travel Association (PATA). The forecasts are generated using a process termed structural integrated time-series econometric analysis, which combines econometric, time-series and expert opinion methodologies. The emphasis is on quantitative modelling followed by adjustments from expert opinion. The adjustments take account of recent world events as they affect international travel. Paper titled: Pacific Asia travel forecasts 2004-1006' in proceedings index.

Additional Information

Conference held 27-30 June 2004, The University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, UK

Item type Book Section
ISBN 0954803906 9780954803902
Subjects Historical > RFCD Classification > 340000 Economics
Historical > Faculty/School/Research Centre/Department > School of Economics and Finance
Historical > FOR Classification > 1506 Tourism
Keywords arrival forecasts, forecast modelling, recovery patterns
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