Pan-evaporation measurements and Morton-point potential evaporation estimates in Australia: are their trends the same?

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Kirono, Dewi G. C, Jones, Roger ORCID: 0000-0001-6970-2797 and Cleugh, Helen A (2009) Pan-evaporation measurements and Morton-point potential evaporation estimates in Australia: are their trends the same? International Journal of Climatology, 29 (5). pp. 711-718. ISSN 0899-8418

Abstract

This paper compares Australian pan-evaporation (Epan) observations with point potential evaporation (Ep) estimates derived using the Morton method. In particular, it focuses on trends in both Ep and Epan. Ep is defined as the potential evaporation from an area which is so small that the effects of the evaporation on the overpassing air would be negligible, while Epan is evaporation measured using a standard pan. The analyses are based on monthly data from 28 sites and refer to the period 1970–2004. The results show that Ep and Epan are strongly correlated on the monthly time scale. Furthermore, the sign of the monthly trends are in agreement, on average, at 60% of the sites. Where there is agreement, positive trends outweigh negative trends. This is consistent with the fact that although trends in Epan and Ep varied from site to site and from month to month, the median trends were positive except for December. The correlation between the trends in both quantities across all sites is statistically significant (R = 0.51) which indicates that projected changes based on climate model outputs can be used to estimate changes in future potential evaporation.

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Item type Article
URI https://vuir.vu.edu.au/id/eprint/4387
DOI https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1731
Official URL http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/joc.173...
Subjects Historical > Faculty/School/Research Centre/Department > Centre for Strategic Economic Studies (CSES)
Historical > FOR Classification > 0401 Atmospheric Sciences
Historical > SEO Classification > 9603 Climate and Climate Change
Keywords ResPubID17920, Australia, potential evaporation, modelled potential evaporation, trend, climate change, pan evaporation, climate projections
Citations in Scopus 18 - View on Scopus
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