Tapp, R. J, Zimmet, P. Z, Harper, C. A, de Courten, Maximilian, McCarty, D. J, Balkau, B, Taylor, H. R, Welborn, T. A and Shaw, J. E (2006) Diagnostic thresholds for diabetes: The association of retinopathy and albuminuria with glycaemia. Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice, 73 (3). pp. 315-321. ISSN 0168-8227 (print) 1872-8227 (online)

Abstract

Aim We examined the association of fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 2-h plasma glucose (2hPG) and HbA1c with retinopathy and microalbuminuria using both deciles of glycaemia and change point models, to validate current diagnostic criteria for diabetes and to identify therapeutic thresholds for glycaemic control. Methods The Australian Diabetes Obesity and Lifestyle study (AusDiab), conducted in 1999–2000, included adults aged ≥25 years from 42 randomly selected areas of Australia. Retinopathy and albuminuria were assessed in participants identified as having diabetes (based on self report and oral glucose tolerance test), impaired fasting glucose, impaired glucose tolerance and in a random sample with normal glucose tolerance. Data were available for 2182 participants with retinal photographs and 2389 with urinary albumin/creatinine results. Results The prevalence of retinopathy in the first 8 deciles of FPG and HbA1c and the first 9 deciles of 2hPG were 7.2, 6.6, and 6.3%, respectively and showed no variation with increasing glucose or HbA1c. Above these levels, the prevalence rose markedly to 18.6% in the top 2 deciles of FPG, 21.3% in the top 2 deciles of HbA1c and 10.9% in the top decile of 2hPG. The thresholds for increasing prevalence of retinopathy were 7.1 mmol/l for FPG, 6.1% for HbA1c and 13.1 mmol/l for 2hPG. The prevalence of microalbuminuria rose gradually across deciles of each glycaemic measure. Thresholds were less clear than for retinopathy, but were seen at a FPG of 7.2 mmol/l and HbA1c of 6.1%, with no evidence of a threshold effect for 2hPG. Conclusions The prevalence of retinopathy rose dramatically in the highest deciles of each glycaemic measure, while for microalbuminuria the increase of prevalence was more gradual. The FPG values corresponded well with the WHO diagnostic cut-point for diabetes, however the 2hPG value did not. HbA1c thresholds were similar for both retinopathy and microalbuminuria and compared well to values shown in other studies. These results support current targets for FPG and HbA1c in preventing microvascular complications.

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