A national assessment of the sensitivity of Australian runoff to climate change

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Preston, B and Jones, Roger ORCID: 0000-0001-6970-2797 (2008) A national assessment of the sensitivity of Australian runoff to climate change. Atmospheric Science Letters, 9 (4). pp. 202-208. ISSN 1530-261X

Abstract

The relationship between catchment rainfall, evapotranspiration and runoff can be exploited to assess climate risk to water resources. National data regarding climatology and runoff were used to estimate the sensitivity of regional runoff to projected changes in precipitation and evaporation. These sensitivity factors were integrated with patterns of climate change from 12 different global climate model (GCM) simulations to project future annual runoff sensitivity per degree of global mean temperature change. Divergent runoff sensitivities were identified depending upon the selected GCM. Averaging among GCMs resulted in a robust pattern of runoff sensitivity suitable for estimating future climate risk.

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Item type	Article
URI	https://vuir.vu.edu.au/id/eprint/3897
DOI	10.1002/asl.188
Official URL	http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/asl.188...
Subjects	Historical > FOR Classification > 0501 Ecological Applications Historical > FOR Classification > 0502 Environmental Science and Management Historical > Faculty/School/Research Centre/Department > Centre for Strategic Economic Studies (CSES)
Keywords	ResPubID18605, climate change, Australia, water resources, runoff sensitivity
Citations in Scopus	9 - View on Scopus
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