Long-run Projections of Environmental Impact in the OECD: The Importance of Uncertainty and Age Structure

Download

Full text for this resource is not available from the Research Repository.

Export

Liddle, Brantley (2011) Long-run Projections of Environmental Impact in the OECD: The Importance of Uncertainty and Age Structure. International Journal of Global Environmental Issues, 11 (3/4). pp. 200-217. ISSN 1466-6650

Abstract

This paper considers the influence of uncertainty with respect to GDP and population - total and age structure - on long-run environmental impact projections. A simple model, based on the stochastic version of the IPAT equation, is used to generate projections of two environmental impacts for which population has a demonstrated influence - carbon emissions from transport and residential electricity consumption. The paper examines the sensitivity of those long-run projections to uncertainty regarding possible future GDP and population growth/change

Dimensions Badge

Altmetric Badge

Item type	Article
URI	https://vuir.vu.edu.au/id/eprint/9447
DOI	10.1504/IJGENVI.2011.044551
Subjects	Historical > FOR Classification > 0502 Environmental Science and Management Historical > FOR Classification > 1402 Applied Economics Historical > SEO Classification > 970114 Expanding Knowledge in Economics Historical > Faculty/School/Research Centre/Department > Centre for Strategic Economic Studies (CSES)
Keywords	ResPubID24431, STIRPAT, stochastic impacts by regression on population affluence and technology, demography and environmental impact, age structure and environment, population and sustainable development, greenhouse gas emissions projections, uncertainty and projections, sensitivity analysis, factorial experimental designs
Citations in Scopus	2 - View on Scopus
Download/View statistics	View download statistics for this item